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IT-475: Decision Support Systems

Description

Teams & Datasets:

  • Teams: 3–4 students. Email team member names to your instructor by 5 Oct 2025. After that, teams will be randomly formed and datasets assigned.
  • Dataset: Each team must work on a unique dataset. Choose one from the link below (or the instructor’s assigned set):

Saudi Open Data Platform:

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Tools (pick what fits your dataset):

  • Required: Microsoft Excel or Orange Data Mining for EDA/modelling.
  • For dashboards: Excel or Power BI (recommended).

Learning Outcomes:

You will:

  • Frame a data-driven decision problem with stakeholders and KPIs.
  • Clean and profile data; document data quality issues and fixes.
  • Perform descriptive statistics and EDA with appropriate visuals.
  • Test a quantitative hypothesis; interpret correlation/regression.
  • Train and evaluate at least two ML models aligned to the decision.
  • Build a dashboard summarizing actionable insights for decision-makers.
  • Produce clear recommendations, assumptions, and what-if takeaways.

Deliverables:

  1. Report (PDF + Word) which must incorporate all the following 7 tasks and written using the provided template. (10 marks distributed among the below tasks).
  2. Slide deck (10–12 slides in 6 mins) for in-class presentation. (4 marks).

Project Tasks & Rubric (Total = 14 marks):

Evidence rule: every task must include screenshots/figures and a 2-4 sentence interpretation (what it shows, why it matters for the decision).

Task 1: Problem & Data Understanding (2 marks)

  • Decision context: Who is the decision-maker? What decision will the analysis support? Define KPIs (2–4).
  • Dataset description: source reliability, collection method, size, time span, unit of analysis.
  • Data dictionary: list key features, types, and expected roles (predictor/target/ID).
  • Hypothesis: one testable relationship between two numerical variables (directional, with rationale).

Task 2: Data Quality & Preparation (1 marks)

  • Show tests and fixes with before/after evidence for:
    • Missing values
    • Duplicates
    • Outliers
    • Noise/irregularities (e.g., inconsistent categories, types, units)
  • Include a Data Quality Log table: issue → method → action → impact.

Task 3: Descriptive Statistics & EDA (2 marks)

  • Central tendency (mean/median/mode) and distribution shape (variance, SD, skewness, kurtosis).
  • Appropriate visuals (histograms/boxplots/density, bar/line where relevant).
  • 2–3 insightful questions you posed from trends/patterns (and brief answers).

Task 4 : Hypothesis Testing & Relationship Analysis (2 marks)

  • Correlation analysis (numeric pair; comment on strength/direction.
  • Simple linear regression (or appropriate alternative): equation, R², residuals check, and practical interpretation linked to KPIs.
  • Conclusion: accept/reject hypothesis; implications for the decision.

Task 5 :Visual Analytics for Decision-Makers (1 marks)

  • A small, coherent visual story (3 – 4 charts) with correct chart types, clear labels, and callouts.
  • Each chart must answer a stakeholder-relevant question; include a 1–2 sentence takeaway.

Task 6: Predictive/Descriptive Modeling (2 marks)

  • Choose 1 – 2 models suitable for your data/task (e.g., Decision Tree, k-NN, Random Forest, SVM, k-means for segmentation if classification/regression is not applicable).
  • Document training setup (feature set, split).
  • Evaluation:
    • For classification: confusion matrix, accuracy, precision/recall, and 1 key trade-off.
    • For regression: MAE/RMSE and an error plot.
    • For clustering: silhouette (or WCSS elbow) + business interpretation of clusters.
  • Brief model selection rationale tied to the decision.

Task 7: Interactive Dashboard & Decision Support (2 marks)

  • Excel or Power BI dashboard with 3–5 tiles: KPIs, filters/slicers, and at least one “what-if” (e.g., price, volume, threshold).
  • One paragraph on how a manager would use this dashboard to make or justify a decision (I have selected this dataset; please adhere to it. (https://open.data.gov.sa/en/datasets/view/f6917c69…))

Report Template (section outline)

  1. Executive Summary (½ page) – problem, method, 2–3 key findings, recommendation.
  2. Decision Context & KPIs
  3. Data Understanding & Preparation (with Data Quality Log)
  4. EDA & Descriptive Statistics
  5. Hypothesis & Relationship Analysis
  6. Visual Analytics for Decision-Makers
  7. Modeling & Evaluation
  8. Dashboard & Decision Use Case (with screenshot)
  9. Recommendations, Sensitivity/What-If Notes, Limitations, Ethics
  10. References (data source + any methods you cite)

Project Report:

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